Donald Trump 2024 Odds: Former President Level With Kamala Harris
UK betting sites have pushed Donald Trump back into top spot to win the 2024 US presidential election as enthusiasm for Kamala Harris begins to wane.
Trump and Harris are practically neck-and-neck in the polls, while the Republican candidate has been pushed out of the media spotlight in recent weeks following the fanfare around Harris’ rise.
The businessman has had to watch on as donations pour into the Democratic campaign and media track the viral support for the Harris-Walz ticket.
But Trump is now back in the ascendancy following Harris’ first TV interview with CNN – which was described as "utterly unremarkable" by some in the press.
Perhaps the gloss of Harris’ announcement as the Democratic candidate for president has rubbed off?
Bookmakers certainly think the vice president’s chances of winning the election have waned – and in return have nudged Trump into a favourable position to return to the Oval Office.
* Fancy winning a VIP trip to London to watch Anthony Joshua take on Daniel Dubois at Wembley Stadium? Enter our free competition below.
Donald Trump Odds
Indeed, the latest politics odds at BoyleSports show Trump is the 4/5 favourite to win the election.
Those odds are nothing compared to the 1/3 price he earned after surviving this summer’s assassination attempt, which carried an implied probability of 75%.
However, Trump’s current chance of winning the election sits at 55.6%. That’s better than the 6/5 price (45.5%) with political betting sites he endured when Harris-mania swept America last month.
Harris, by contrast, is stuck on Evens (50% likelihood) to win the election as her odds begin to inflate following her CNN interview.
It was, admittedly, a fairly tepid interview. She sat alongside Tim Walz and discussed policy, her record in government, and her plans for the future.
But it was never going to inspire a wave of fresh enthusiasm. No wonder her odds slipped.
As for Trump, he may be in the lead but his latest odds shift is more of an indication of punters fleeing Harris and backing him at a high price, rather than a clear indication he will win the election.
The Harris and Trump odds have fluctuated a lot over the past month but are generally trending around 50%. That reflects the polls, which have the pair roughly level.
Will Trump Win The Election?
The latest polls show Harris’ lead is narrowing. Her +5 advantage from mid-August has fallen to +3.1. Trump still holds sway over white voters, the over-65s and Latinos. Harris attracts more young, female and black voters.
The election really is in the balance. It’s likely that the presidency will come down to one or two swing states, which Trump and Harris are both throwing money at.
Both candidates need something big to shift the dial at this point – and it could come during the September 10 debate.
The Democrats have relented in accepting the Republicans’ desire to maintain muted microphones for those not speaking during the ABC TV debate.
This is actually a big win for the Trump team. The Dems were hoping to have “hot mics” through the debate, which they believed would lead to Trump interrupting Harris.
They could then use this to paint Trump as rude and obnoxious, talking down to a woman.
The muted mics mean the debate can play out more civilly but still give Trump the freedom to attack Harris without interruption.
This worked well for Trump in his debate with Joe Biden. It should work here too.
Will this debate be enough to significantly shift the odds and polls? Probably not. However, it could set the narrative for September and October as the campaign hots up.
Trump, at 4/5 with betting apps is not a great price to win the election right now.
His odds will almost certainly inflate when punters – attracted by Harris’ high odds – back the VP into top spot. Trump’s odds should inflate over the next couple of weeks, at which point he will be worth backing.
This back-and-forth between the Harris and Trump odds could easily continue to election date. There just isn’t anything to split the pair at this stage.
Stay In The Loop With Free Bets, Insider Tips & More!
Live Betting. Sports Promos. Sent Weekly.
