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T20 World Cup India v Canada: Latest Odds & Analysis

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T20 World Cup India v Canada: Latest Odds & Analysis

India v Canada predictions: 

When: Saturday 15 June, 8:00pm IST

Where: Central Broward Regional Park, Lauderhill

Watch: Star Sports and Disney+ Hotstar

Best Odds: India 1.03, Canada 18


Having already booked their place in Group 1 of the Super 8s alongside Australia, Afghanistan and the second-placed team of Group D, India have the opportunity to take things easy in their next game against Canada, which is effectively inconsequential.

Many Super 8s sides will get the chance to rest some of their most important and busiest players in their final game of the first stage and at this point there is only speculation about the XI that they will field in their inaugural meeting with Canada.

The unseasonably wet weather in southern Florida, even for June, could force both teams to have the day off, which would be especially bad news for Canada who are now in must-win territory. 

The forecast for Saturday has improved throughout the week but is still sketchy, and Lauderhill did avoid the worst of the flooding which has greatly affected Miami further down the coast. 

It’s business as usual for cricket betting sites, who have very short odds for India to win as well as for their top players to be amongst the runs and the wickets.

 

The Numbers That Matter

  • The average T20I run rate in Florida (before USA-Ireland) was 8.01
  • India has a 31-0 record against associates and Ireland in T20Is and ODIs
  • Arshdeep Singh averages 11 runs and 10 balls per wicket on American soil (14 wickets)
  • Saad Bin Zafar has 1-87 from 12 overs at this T20 World Cup

Rohit’s readymade reunion with Lauderhill

There’s a little more than just raw numbers behind our strategy to back the Indian captain to score despite cricket betting apps keeping him and his colleagues quite safe with conservative odds. 

As an opener, Rohit is the least likely of the Indian XI to be affected by any reduction of overs due to bad weather, and even in the near-worst case scenario of a five-over innings could still be a candidate to clear a score of 30 in a helter skelter cameo.

Rohit belongs to a small handful of players to have played across two separate T20I series against the West Indies in Lauderhill, and his experience and success at the venue could serve him well.

His five innings at Central Broward Regional Park includes two scores in the 60s and an overall strike rate of 153, which is why we’re confident he can get the team off to a good start on what should be a better batting pitch than the Nassau County one where he recorded a 52ret in his first start.

Averaging nearly 40 against pace in T20Is this year, he should also relish the absence of a star spinner to upset his rhythm in the powerplay.

Prediction: Rohit Sharma to score 30+ runs - 2.1 @ 22Bet Sports

A hat-trick of Heyliger wickets

Guyana-born Canadian speedster Dilon Heyliger has been one of their most outstanding performers of this World Cup and the step up in class from USA and Ireland to Pakistan did not overwhelm him. 

Bowling either as first change or third change, he produced four-over figures against both Ireland and Pakistan, even getting Saim Ayub and Babar Azam caught behind ten overs apart.

Before that, he demolished Nepal with a brilliant haul of 4-20 in a warm-up game, illustrating that he has been in excellent form for quite some time now.

Heyliger’s ability to get on top of Pakistan’s top order should give punters plenty of confidence to back him to take at least one wicket against India, especially as he bowls plenty of overs in the second half of the innings when batters up their risk-taking, whilst those feeling lucky may even wish to take the 3.40 offered by some Indian betting sites for Heyliger to double up!

Prediction: Dilon Heyliger to take a wicket - 1.5 @ 22Bet Sports

Backing Kirton’s medium term form

Nicholas Kirton is one of three separate batters to have top scored for the Canadian side this tournament and goes into their final game not only as their only player with more than 100 World Cup runs, but as one of only four men in the whole tournament after 29 matches to have scored his 100+ runs at a strike rate of at least 140.

Add to that a 52 in a warm-up win over Nepal, which would have been his best professional score in the T20 format if it were counted towards official stats, and Kirton could claim to have scored 49+ in three of his last four innings.

Batting at number four often means he has missed some overs from the best opening opposition bowlers throughout the tournament, coming in during the sixth, fifth and ninth overs to spend most of his time in the middle overs.

He and wicketkeeper Shreyas Movva are the only batters in the team who have been able to string together any kind of consistency at this World Cup, so a price of four-to-one appeals for their leading run scorer to bow out in style.

Prediction: Nicholas Kirton top Canada scorer - 5.0 @ 22Bet Sports

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